DAP is the most widely traded phosphate fertilizer globally. Hormuz dependency: Saudi Arabia and Jordan are major DAP/phosphate producers.
Saudi Ma'aden (world's #3 phosphate producer) ships through Hormuz.
Combined with urea (nitrogen) — fertilizer disruption threatens global food security.
Fertilizer costs = 30-40% of crop production costs for grain farmers.
2022 peak: $920/Mt (Ukraine crisis + China export ban). Normal range: $350-500/Mt.
Impact chain: Hormuz → fertilizer prices ↑ → planting costs ↑ → food prices ↑ (6-12 month lag).
Source: World Bank Pink Sheet (monthly, 2010–present). Updated monthly. 204 data points since 2010-01-01.
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